Blog

2025-01-11 · ~1300 words ·AI

Reflections on Thinking as Language

Two years of using LLMs regularly has challenged a strong belief of mine: that fundamentally, thinking is primarily just language that happens in our heads. I’m aware that this wasn’t a prevailing view in psychology, but I still want to talk about what changed my mind, since it didn’t require reading academic literature – just engaging with practical tools and reflecting on the experience.
2023-12-17 · ~1400 words ·Probability, World Events

Probability Estimates: 2024

Ideally, when we say we think something is likely (or unlikely), we should revisit our prediction later once we know the actual outcome… so this year some friends and I will be competing by predicting various 2024 events.